Actual countering power? Let's assume it's GH. He's going to have 1 sword at tower and have around 5-6 miners before your spearton gets to centre. Once it gets to centre, he'll run back, getting swords. He held tower for a shortwhile, along with around a 3x stronger economy and enough swords to hold your spearton off. He can garrison, or attack with miners, or do the heck he wants. Unless he completely mucks up, you've already lost.
Assuming short map, sword/archer will be the meta, maybe archer/miner. For sword/archer, he *will* have 3 swords out and 1 archer out and be able to more than deal with your spearton. If you have to go for a CA, then you've just lost 300 gold you should have invested into an archer, or miners, or swords. He's going to be able to take tower and he'll have a standing army. If it's archer/miner, it can be trickier but with some micro he'll deal with you. In fact, you can usually just run to your opponent's side and pwn their miners, or statue faster than your one spearton can, meaning he has to run back to your side, allowing you to mine.
Basically, provided he gets his units out and knows how to micro, you'll be left with a weak economy, without a tower and a spearton that takes 1 minute to heal to full health.
Yeah, who said that? If it's a short map, he'll have the army to attack your economy or deal with your spearton. A double garrison works in his favour, just saying. If it's a long map, he'll have the economy to churn out way more units without even stopping a miner flow.
Your definition of "viable" (possible) implies it can go up to any ranking. My definition of viable is using the spearton start, you can actually win at a reasonable rate with it. Trust me on this one. Spearton start is basically killing you. There's a reason why players 1.8k+ don't do spearton start, they do archer/miner (or 1.9k+ the sword/miner/miner meta will really show.)
Well said. You are probably right about 1.8k+, and you are also quite right about actual countering power; however, I must point out that I'm in the 1700s, a casual player, and not a pro. I'm not endorsing this strategy for 100% win rates. I'm just saying that you can use it as a casual player and still win. True, it's a bad strategy for any pro, but when played against people my rating, it still works a remarkable amount of times. Maybe if you read how I use it?
1: I get a spearton by setting miners on mana.
2: I send the spearton to attack their base (rushing past their attackers) once the other side launches an attack on mine. It's usually an archer-sword start, sometimes single archer start or sword spam. Unless it's sword spam, everything is according to plan.
3: If they withdraw their units to attack my spear, then I'm set. I'll save up for castle archer and then recall the spear when I have enough.
4: While they try to kill my spear with an archer and 2 swords and CA, I've got my own CA. At this point, I withdraw the spear if it may survive, if not, I simply kill as many miners as possible.
5: With their army, it is impossible for them to bypass my castle archer; if I still have a spear, then, I have a chance at bypassing their defence when it heals up to rejoin my second spear, while they are queuing up their first one.
Overall: Both sides get castle archer, but one side has attacking forces that can't bypass castle archer, while the other side holds a slight advantage by holding the army that can most quickly attack again. The enemy has the mid-tower, but it will soon be retaken. Economy is about equal.
Counters:
1: They simply ignore the attacking spear and kill your miners. (it isn't usually seen where I play, but yes, this is why pros like you guys don't use it)
2: They start by sword rage.
3: They start by turtling.
4: They micro well enough to garrison only the attacked miners. (not usually seen at casual levels, and if it is seen, the player is still there because of their shitty macro.)
5: Superior macro
Anyway, I'm not saying this strategy is good, by any means; I'm just saying it's a start you can win with at a higher level than you anticipate. The first time I ran into this start was around 1600, not 1400 (and trust me, I was stuck there a long time) ; it completely pwned my usual start. (single-archer into CA)
Maybe it's time you could make another account to see how the trends are changing? I mean, you guys have been at the top of the game for so long it's probably easy for you to not notice what lower-level players are up to now.
P.S. I already mentioned I don't usually use this start myself; only when I'm sure the other guy is going for archer-miner do I ever use it.